Terrorist Attacks Will Likely Impact 2016 Presidential Race, Experts Say


Posted on: September 19th, 2016 by ABC News No Comments

ABC News(WASHINGTON) — The various connected bombings in New York and New Jersey coupled with the stabbing at a mall in Minnesota has renewed interest in how the presidential candidates will handle national security.

Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have both spoken out in the wake of the attacks, which left dozens injured.

John Cohen, a former counter-terrorism coordinator for the Department of Homeland Security, said he believes that the various terrorist attacks that have occurred during the campaign “have a significant impact” on voters.

“When events occur like this … you tend to have people become more fearful, and when people are more fearful, they tend to gravitate towards a candidate who appears to be more strong,” said Cohen, who currently works as an ABC News consultant.

Three of the latest national polls that were all conducted before the various attacks this weekend all had Clinton leading when respondents were asked who they trust to handle the issue of terrorism.

In the ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Sept. 11, Clinton led 50 percent to Trump’s 41 percent among adults and 48 percent to Trump’s 45 percent among likely voters when asked about who was more trusted to handle terrorism.

A CBS/New York Times poll released on Sept. 14 had Clinton doing “a better job handling terrorism and national security” by 49 percent compared to Trump’s 45 percent.

The split was closest in the poll released by Quinnipiac on Sept. 15 when respondents were asked who they thought would do a better job keeping the country safe from terrorism “regardless of how you intend to vote.” In that poll, Clinton got 49 percent to Trump’s 47 percent.

“Traditionally, it’s been the Republican party who has projected strength and awareness in the area of law enforcement and homeland security, but today, that’s kind of flipped because despite his rhetoric, there are a number of national security experts who have raised concerns about the level of understanding that Donald Trump has as it relates to terrorism and national security threats,” Cohen said.

Current events are playing into the political campaigns, with the candidates regularly scheduling speeches about national security in the wake of attacks. But Cohen said that political rhetoric could also be impacting and potentially motivating the attacks themselves.

Cohen said that Trump’s rhetoric and calls to ban Muslims from entering the United States “may even serve to further along those who are becoming inspired to act on their [ISIS’s] behalf,” Cohen said.

James Campbell, a professor of political science at the University at Buffalo who has written a book about political polarization, told ABC News that he believes the attacks translate to a potential advantage to Donald Trump.

“I have to think that terrorist events in this country help Trump and hurt Clinton. For these events to be occurring with the frequency they do may be read by many as a failure of the current administration and particularly it foreign policy team to effectively deal with the problem,” Campbell said.

“It may also suggest that we need a tougher approach to dealing with terrorism, an approach associated with Trump. When suspects are identified who have Muslim-sounding names, then that may further fuel support for tougher immigration standards and scrutiny,” he said.

Copyright © 2016, ABC Radio. All rights reserved.



Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Terrorist Attacks Will Likely Impact 2016 Presidential Race, Experts Say


Posted on: September 19th, 2016 by ABC News No Comments

ABC News(WASHINGTON) — The various connected bombings in New York and New Jersey coupled with the stabbing at a mall in Minnesota has renewed interest in how the presidential candidates will handle national security.

Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have both spoken out in the wake of the attacks, which left dozens injured.

John Cohen, a former counter-terrorism coordinator for the Department of Homeland Security, said he believes that the various terrorist attacks that have occurred during the campaign “have a significant impact” on voters.

“When events occur like this … you tend to have people become more fearful, and when people are more fearful, they tend to gravitate towards a candidate who appears to be more strong,” said Cohen, who currently works as an ABC News consultant.

Three of the latest national polls that were all conducted before the various attacks this weekend all had Clinton leading when respondents were asked who they trust to handle the issue of terrorism.

In the ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Sept. 11, Clinton led 50 percent to Trump’s 41 percent among adults and 48 percent to Trump’s 45 percent among likely voters when asked about who was more trusted to handle terrorism.

A CBS/New York Times poll released on Sept. 14 had Clinton doing “a better job handling terrorism and national security” by 49 percent compared to Trump’s 45 percent.

The split was closest in the poll released by Quinnipiac on Sept. 15 when respondents were asked who they thought would do a better job keeping the country safe from terrorism “regardless of how you intend to vote.” In that poll, Clinton got 49 percent to Trump’s 47 percent.

“Traditionally, it’s been the Republican party who has projected strength and awareness in the area of law enforcement and homeland security, but today, that’s kind of flipped because despite his rhetoric, there are a number of national security experts who have raised concerns about the level of understanding that Donald Trump has as it relates to terrorism and national security threats,” Cohen said.

Current events are playing into the political campaigns, with the candidates regularly scheduling speeches about national security in the wake of attacks. But Cohen said that political rhetoric could also be impacting and potentially motivating the attacks themselves.

Cohen said that Trump’s rhetoric and calls to ban Muslims from entering the United States “may even serve to further along those who are becoming inspired to act on their [ISIS’s] behalf,” Cohen said.

James Campbell, a professor of political science at the University at Buffalo who has written a book about political polarization, told ABC News that he believes the attacks translate to a potential advantage to Donald Trump.

“I have to think that terrorist events in this country help Trump and hurt Clinton. For these events to be occurring with the frequency they do may be read by many as a failure of the current administration and particularly it foreign policy team to effectively deal with the problem,” Campbell said.

“It may also suggest that we need a tougher approach to dealing with terrorism, an approach associated with Trump. When suspects are identified who have Muslim-sounding names, then that may further fuel support for tougher immigration standards and scrutiny,” he said.

Copyright © 2016, ABC Radio. All rights reserved.



Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.