Optimism for Trump’s Afghan war plan from legendary US commando

Posted on: August 22nd, 2017 by ABC News No Comments

ABC News(WASHINGTON) — President Donald Trump’s new plan for a more open-ended war against the Taliban, al-Qaeda and ISIS in South Asia was met with cautious optimism by Retired U.S. Army Maj. Jim Gant, also known as “Lawrence of Afghanistan,” one of the few military strategists who had success in the fight in the region.

Gant — a legendary Green Beret counterinsurgency innovator who earned a version of the “Lawrence of Arabia” nickname bestowed upon British officer T.E. Lawrence for his famous heroics in the 1916 Arab Revolt — said he was “encouraged” by the Trump plan.

“There are key ingredients for success in this strategy, which bears the clear imprint of Generals [James] Mattis and [H.R] McMaster,” Gant told ABC News on Tuesday, referring to Trump’s secretary of defense and national security adviser.

But the retired Special Forces officer, who was once the target of an assassination order issued by al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden because of his success against insurgents in eastern Afghanistan from 2011 to 2012, also warned it will “likely take many more years for this conditions-based, Afghan-led campaign to produce any tangible results on the ground — let alone the elusive ‘win’ that Trump is seeking.”

“Few details of how it will be executed were revealed,” making it hard to fully assess, Gant noted.

The details matter. Troop levels in Afghanistan steadily rose year after year following the 9/11 attacks and the resulting November 2001 U.S. incursion into the Taliban-controlled country by special operations forces, from a few thousand men to more than 100,000 troops at the height of a surge ordered by then-President Barack Obama in 2010.

But adding boots to the war never resulted in tangible strategic gains, as the Taliban — aided by al-Qaeda and Pakistan’s intelligence service — also sent a growing stream of jihadi fighters into battle.

The only successful U.S.-led counterinsurgency program was a “tribal engagement” strategy championed by Gant, a Silver Star recipient and combat-hardened special operator who wrote a 2009 proposal, “One Tribe At A Time,” which caught the attention of Navy SEAL Adm. Eric Olson of U.S. Special Operations Command and Army Gen. David Petraeus, who took command of the war in 2010.

Gant’s strategy, which when implemented was called “Village Stability Operations,” had special operations forces living inside Pashtun tribal villages in the most contested rural areas of southern and eastern Afghanistan. They were instructed to befriend the tribesmen — live with them, eat with them, fight with them, bleed with them and even die with them — to win their loyalty and turn them against the Taliban insurgents. Gant led his own VSO team in Kunar province, long al-Qaeda’s primary sanctuary, where insurgents called him ”Commander Jim.” He succeeded in winning over three tribes and thousands of armed fighters there.

“VSO is the only thing bottom-up that ever worked,” said another retired Green Beret, Lt. Col. Scott Mann, who designed and led the implementation of the country-wide strategy and later authored, “Game Changers: Going Local to Defeat Violent Extremism.”

Despite the program’s success in some of the most contested provinces, the Village Stability Operations program was curtailed and phased out after only two years — because Obama ordered most troops to withdraw from Afghanistan in 2012.

Gant was relieved of command in 2012 amid concerns about his love affair with then-Washington Post war correspondent Ann Scott Tyson, who is now his wife. As reported in a 2014 ABC News investigation, his commanders claimed he had hidden the fact that Tyson was living with him in a remote village for nearly a year and had stayed out of sight when top VIPs visited his outpost. He was forced to accept a demotion, retirement and even stripped of his Special Forces tab, in spite of his widely-heralded success in unconventional warfare. Tyson wrote a book about her husband, “American Spartan: The Promise, the Mission, and the Betrayal of Special Forces Major Jim Gant.”

There are almost 10,000 American forces remaining in Afghanistan today, including thousands of special operators, but most are still restricted from doing anything more than “train and assist” missions with Afghan commandos. Very few counterterrorism missions take place in the country by SEALs and Army Delta Force operators under the U.S. Joint Special Operations Command, a senior military official told ABC News.

Mann, however, said Trump’s speech left him “underwhelmed” because it amounted to tough talk and few specifics.

“That’s when all my ‘spidey sense’ started going off,” Mann said. “This needs to be a fifty to a hundred-year campaign. It requires persistence and presence. Colombia should be a model, not Iraq.”

James Sisco, a retired naval intelligence officer who served as U.S. military liaison and adviser to then-Afghan President Hamid Karzai, was another champion of the short-lived tribal engagement strategy and is also deeply skeptical that adding more U.S. troops again will make a difference.

“Four or five years from now you’ll see no change and we will still be talking about it,” Sisco said. “It will make no difference. If you had robust village stability operations, it would be great. But now you’re looking at more guys doing ‘train and assist,’ not trigger-pullers.”

President Trump said conditions on the ground will dictate strategy not timetables, adding that he will relax the military’s rules of engagement and demand more of NATO partners. He also called out Pakistan’s government, saying it “gives safe haven to agents of chaos, violence, and terror.”

The Trump speech bore remarkable similarities to one given by then-presidential candidate Obama a decade ago, who said in the seventh year of America’s longest war that “security is most threatened by the al-Qaeda and Taliban sanctuary in the tribal regions of northwest Pakistan. Al Qaeda terrorists train, travel, and maintain global communications in this safe-haven.”

Little has changed since 2007. Gant agreed that Trump was right to address Pakistan’s duplicity and his pledge as commander-in-chief to give ground force commanders more authorities to take the fight to the enemy “is encouraging.”

“The decision to steer clear of timelines and troop numbers was a smart move in terms of the kind of psychological warfare that must be conducted aggressively to slow advances made by the Taliban in recent years,” Gant said.

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